TableMaster Revenue Scenarios

This is a model, not a forecast. Every group of inputs carries a confidence label, and four of the five are marked Guess. Only the table-game lease range is benchmarked.

The size of the prize. The formal US market is about $47M a year: about $26M in poker software plus data and ads, and about $21M in premium table games. A focused, winnable niche.

Turn the knobs. Confidence: Measured Benchmarked Guess Settings are saved in this browser.

per month

per year (ARR)

Software / Data&Ads / Tables / Events

Engine 1: Software Guess

Rooms on Room Director

Avg revenue per room / mo (tiers+modules+add-ons)

Implementation fee, one-time per new room (setup, config, training)

New rooms onboarded / yr

Player app MAU

Premium conversion

Premium price / mo

Table Games (patents) Benchmarked range

Leased tables

Lease per table / mo

Growth: Years 2 to 5 Guess

Player MAU growth

Table Space / data / tables / events growth

Room growth uses "New rooms onboarded / yr" above. Unit prices (incl. per-entry fee, sponsorship/stop) held flat. Growth capped at US feasibility ceilings (400 rooms, 1.5M MAU, 52 stops/yr, etc.).

Engine 2: Data & Audience Guess

Ad revenue per free user / yr (in-app)

Table Space rooms

Screens per room

Net revenue per screen / mo

Data licensing contracts

Avg data contract / yr

Engine 3: Branded Tournament Series (DirtyStack Poker Tour) Guess

Tour stops / events per year

Avg entries per stop

TableMaster fee per entry ($ carve of the juice)

Sponsorship revenue per stop

Per stop ≈ (entries × fee) + sponsorship. Swag/merch treated as marketing cost, not revenue. Fee-per-entry is a negotiated carve of the room's tournament juice; confirm room by room.

Breakdown

Revenue by stream

Five-year projection (current knobs = Year 1 run-rate)

Year 5 annual

5-yr cumulative

implied CAGR

Year 1 = today's knob settings annualized. Years 2 to 5 apply the growth knobs; rooms add "new rooms onboarded/yr" each year; tournament stops grow by the "events growth" knob; unit prices held flat (no price increases modeled, which is conservative).

US market funnel (annual revenue potential)

The honest read (revised after SEC research, 2026-06-12): US poker software + data/ads ≈ $26M/yr TAM; the premium table-games market ≈ $21M/yr (only ~2,500 to 4,500 premium tables in the US; our prior $72M figure conflated premium games with cheap side bets). Formal total TAM ≈ $47M/yr. The branded tournament series is a smaller, marketing-led line (low-hundreds-of-$K at scale) whose real value is brand, player acquisition, and sponsor relationships, not standalone size. A focused, winnable niche: defensible "millions," not lazy "hundreds of millions."

Set a target

Annual revenue target $ -

Uses the current Scenario Builder unit prices. Change knobs there; this updates live.

Single-stream paths (each alone hits the target)

What one more unit is worth (levers)

Use this in partner conversations: "every room ≈ $X/yr, every 10K MAU ≈ $Y/yr, every tour stop ≈ $Z."

This is the scenario builder that sits beside the TableMaster revenue model, TableMaster-Revenue-Model.md, which holds the source for each assumption. It covers the US only.

Year 1 is the current knob settings annualized. Unit prices are held flat, and growth is capped at the US ceilings named on the page. Nothing here is a forecast or a commitment.